The sudden fixation with the winter weather, and its arrival during peak Christmas shopping and traveling season has raised a lot of issues which resonate with key themes in Sustainability Marketing: A Global Perspective. One obvious one is climate, and climate change in particular. Progress towards more sustainable patterns of production and consumption will be hampered unless consumers accept and act upon the real and present risks that climate change presents. The problem is that the clear evidence of changing (and warming) climate in the long-term is somewhat disguised and overshadowed by the short-term impact of the weather on our lives and consciousness. This is rather clearly illustrated by the comments of Michael O’Leary, Boss of Ryanair recently:

If the boss of a major company cannot tell the difference between climate and weather, and is given a platform in the media to further confuse consumers, then the prospects of mobilizing consumers to act on climate risks are much diminished. The problem is that when people look back on 2010, the thing they’ll remember is the worst winter weather in the Northern Hemisphere for 30 years. The fact that early indications are that global average temperatures for the year are likely to reach a new high is likely to be both overlooked and forgotten.
This weather and its impact also illustrates our dependence on the environment, and the extent to which our societies and economies depend on relatively stable and benign environmental conditions. This is particularly true as our economies and markets become increasingly globalized. More globalized supply chains can create economies of scale and scope which allow financial costs to consumers to be minimized, and make seasonal produce available virtually year-round to deliver convenience to consumers. The downside is that it introduces greater vulnerability into the supply system because if any one link in the chain is adversely impacted by the weather, the whole system can grind to a halt. More localized systems of production and consumption may find it difficult to match the prices of the global supply chains (despite the greater transport costs), but they are potentially more resilient. Shoppers all over Europe are discovering that a centralized retailing system based on the move towards out-of-town retail parks comes at a price when car journeys to them become impossible.
Talking of car journeys, another interesting aspect of this weather has been the change in social status of 4x4 car drivers in urban areas. Usually people driving huge 4x4s between their homes and their places of work or shopping or their children’s schools are frowned upon for their environmental profligacy. Now suddenly they find themselves in demand for socially important tasks like getting medical staff to hospitals, getting brides to weddings and taking basic supplies to the elderly who live alone. Rather like for businesses, a sudden burst of socially responsible activity does not really absolve you from a year’s worth of environmental sins, but it must be nice for 4x4 owners to feel popular for a change. Whether or not this winter will lead to an upswing in demand for 4x4 vehicles will be interesting to see.
Another issue raised by this very Christmassy weather is the impact that it has had on the traditional Christmas shopping season. In the UK there have been some very gloomy economic forecasts about the impact on retailers’ financial results in 2011. One commonly cited statistic is that for many retailers the sales during the two weeks prior to Christmas represent their annual profit. The other 50 weeks of the year generate the necessary income to cover their costs, and the festive season generates their profit. This has to raise some questions about the sustainability of businesses that are so dependent on sales during two weeks of the year when there is a reasonable chance that shoppers will find it difficult to get to the shops. The problem with Christmas sales is that it is not necessarily custom that will be deferred into the New Year, and even if it is, it may not be so profitable. As Nick Hood, of insolvency specialists Begbies Traynor, explained on the BBC news website this week, deferred sales tend to mean a real loss for retailers as would-be Christmas items are instead purchased in the January sales. As he stated: "The other problem is about 20% of all Christmas spend is impulse and that dies on Christmas Day. You're not going to buy that extra chocolate cake or that extra present for Auntie Flo. You stop." That last quote perhaps says a great deal about Christmas’s new role as a festival of impulsive and symbolic purchasing and consumption more than as a religious festival or even as a festive window of enjoyment to brighten up an otherwise rather long and dark winter period. As we explored in this blog exactly a year ago, Christmas is a tricky subject for anyone interested in promoting sustainability marketing. Attacking the over-consumption and the sheer volume of consumption of items with apparently little (or highly temporary) value or utility, leaves you sounding like a kill-joy or a more environmentally aware version of Ebeneezer Scrooge. But if you join in too enthusiastically, you’re open to the charge of hypocrite. Perhaps the solution lies in a ‘downshifted’ Christmas where the emphasis is on time spent with friends and loved ones, doing things you enjoy doing, and finding resourceful (and resource efficient) ways of enjoying the holiday season. If the current arctic airstream continues coming out way, many of us might not have too much choice about that last part !
So as last year, we wish everyone a happy and relatively sustainable Christmas, and best wishes for a peaceful and rewarding 2011.
Frank and Ken.